2026 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
Matchup first read
BUF passing attack has the stronger league profile.
BUF passing attack #5/32 · NYJ pass defense #24/32 · 154 offense / 165 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- BUF -4
- Model total
- 51
- 80% range (NYJ margin)
- -19.1 to +14.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYJ passing attack#16/32BUF pass defense#29/32
- NYJ run game#18/32BUF run defense#19/32
- BUF passing attack#5/32NYJ pass defense#24/32
- BUF run game#1/32NYJ run defense#14/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
BUFBuffalo Bills
- Josh AllenQB · 6 games251pass yds/g
- James CookRB · 6 games105rush yds/g
- Dalton KincaidTE · 6 games52.5rec yds/g
- Khalil ShakirWR · 6 games48.3rec yds/g
NYJNew York Jets
- Geno SmithQB · 7 games232pass yds/g
- Braelon AllenRB · 7 games59.7rush yds/g
- Omar Cooper Jr.WR · 3 games82.7rec yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 7 games63.4rec yds/g