AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints

Matchup first read

CAR run game has the stronger league profile.

CAR run game #12/32 · NO run defense #32/32 · 120 offense / 138 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CAR -1.5
Model total
51
80% range (NO margin)
-16.3 to +17.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#25/32CAR pass defense#8/32
  • NO run game#25/32CAR run defense#20/32
  • CAR passing attack#17/32NO pass defense#22/32
  • CAR run game#12/32NO run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CARCarolina Panthers

NONew Orleans Saints