AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET

Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns

HOUHOUHouston TexansCLECLECleveland Browns

Matchup first read

CLE run defense has the stronger league profile.

HOU run game #22/32 · CLE run defense #5/32 · 115 offense / 127 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CLE -0.5
Model total
43.5
80% range (CLE margin)
-14.6 to +19.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#22/32HOU pass defense#14/32
  • CLE run game#17/32HOU run defense#27/32
  • HOU passing attack#4/32CLE pass defense#9/32
  • HOU run game#22/32CLE run defense#5/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

HOUHouston Texans

CLECleveland Browns