AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

JAXJAXJacksonville JaguarsTENTENTennessee Titans

Matchup first read

JAX run defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN run game #30/32 · JAX run defense #1/32 · 117 offense / 109 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
JAX -10
Model total
42
80% range (TEN margin)
-25.1 to +8.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#30/32JAX pass defense#18/32
  • TEN run game#30/32JAX run defense#1/32
  • JAX passing attack#6/32TEN pass defense#21/32
  • JAX run game#11/32TEN run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

TENTennessee Titans