AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 10 · Mon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ET

Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens

LACLACLos Angeles ChargersBALBALBaltimore Ravens

Matchup first read

BAL run defense has the stronger league profile.

LAC run game #28/32 · BAL run defense #3/32 · 148 offense / 131 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -5.5
Model total
42
80% range (BAL margin)
-9.3 to +24.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#8/32LAC pass defense#10/32
  • BAL run game#24/32LAC run defense#4/32
  • LAC passing attack#32/32BAL pass defense#23/32
  • LAC run game#28/32BAL run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

BALBaltimore Ravens