AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET

Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts

MIAMIAMiami DolphinsINDINDIndianapolis Colts

Matchup first read

IND pass defense has the stronger league profile.

MIA passing attack #26/32 · IND pass defense #7/32 · 135 offense / 150 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -3
Model total
46.5
80% range (IND margin)
-11.8 to +22.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#28/32MIA pass defense#32/32
  • IND run game#10/32MIA run defense#10/32
  • MIA passing attack#26/32IND pass defense#7/32
  • MIA run game#6/32IND run defense#12/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MIAMiami Dolphins

INDIndianapolis Colts