2026 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
Matchup first read
GB pass defense has the stronger league profile.
MIN passing attack #27/32 · GB pass defense #6/32 · 154 offense / 189 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- MIN -5
- Model total
- 37.5
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -20.1 to +13.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#7/32MIN pass defense#1/32
- GB run game#31/32MIN run defense#15/32
- MIN passing attack#27/32GB pass defense#6/32
- MIN run game#27/32GB run defense#24/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
MINMinnesota Vikings
- Kyler MurrayQB · 5 games162pass yds/g
- Aaron JonesRB · 6 games72.7rush yds/g
- Justin JeffersonWR · 5 games60.4rec yds/g
- T.J. HockensonTE · 6 games39.5rec yds/g
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 7 games280pass yds/g
- Kaleb JohnsonRB · 5 games20.8rush yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 7 games85rec yds/g
- Matthew GoldenWR · 7 games77.1rec yds/g