AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

PITPITPittsburgh SteelersCINCINCincinnati Bengals

Matchup first read

PIT run game has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #2/32 · CIN run defense #16/32 · 110 offense / 125 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -4.5
Model total
44
80% range (CIN margin)
-10.5 to +23.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#3/32PIT pass defense#17/32
  • CIN run game#21/32PIT run defense#7/32
  • PIT passing attack#19/32CIN pass defense#13/32
  • PIT run game#2/32CIN run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

CINCincinnati Bengals