AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ET

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys

SFSFSan Francisco 49ersDALDALDallas Cowboys

Matchup first read

SF run game has the stronger league profile.

SF run game #3/32 · DAL run defense #21/32 · 129 offense / 143 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SF -2
Model total
50
80% range (DAL margin)
-16.9 to +17.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#14/32SF pass defense#20/32
  • DAL run game#5/32SF run defense#2/32
  • SF passing attack#10/32DAL pass defense#27/32
  • SF run game#3/32DAL run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

DALDallas Cowboys