2026 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET
Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup first read
KC passing attack has the stronger league profile.
KC passing attack #11/32 · ARI pass defense #30/32 · 170 offense / 161 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- KC -7
- Model total
- 44.5
- 80% range (KC margin)
- -7.8 to +26.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- KC passing attack#11/32ARI pass defense#30/32
- KC run game#7/32ARI run defense#26/32
- ARI passing attack#23/32KC pass defense#16/32
- ARI run game#15/32KC run defense#8/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
ARIArizona Cardinals
- Jacoby BrissettQB · 7 games229pass yds/g
- Jeremiyah LoveRB · 5 games49rush yds/g
- Trey McBrideTE · 7 games67.4rec yds/g
- Michael WilsonWR · 7 games53.6rec yds/g
KCKansas City Chiefs
- Patrick MahomesQB · 6 games246pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 6 games117rush yds/g
- Rashee RiceWR · 3 games63.3rec yds/g
- Travis KelceTE · 6 games57.2rec yds/g