AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET

Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers

BALBALBaltimore RavensCARCARCarolina Panthers

Matchup first read

BAL run defense has the stronger league profile.

CAR run game #12/32 · BAL run defense #3/32 · 120 offense / 131 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -1
Model total
50.5
80% range (CAR margin)
-15.7 to +18.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#17/32BAL pass defense#23/32
  • CAR run game#12/32BAL run defense#3/32
  • BAL passing attack#8/32CAR pass defense#8/32
  • BAL run game#24/32CAR run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

CARCarolina Panthers