AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 11 · Mon, Nov 23 · 8:15 PM ET

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Commanders

CINCINCincinnati BengalsWASWASWashington Commanders

Matchup first read

CIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

CIN passing attack #3/32 · WAS pass defense #19/32 · 193 offense / 202 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -6.5
Model total
48.5
80% range (WAS margin)
-21.3 to +12.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#20/32CIN pass defense#13/32
  • WAS run game#16/32CIN run defense#16/32
  • CIN passing attack#3/32WAS pass defense#19/32
  • CIN run game#21/32WAS run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

WASWashington Commanders