2026 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants
Matchup first read
JAX run game has the stronger league profile.
JAX run game #11/32 · NYG run defense #28/32 · 132 offense / 138 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- JAX -4
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -18.8 to +15.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#18/32JAX pass defense#18/32
- NYG run game#13/32JAX run defense#1/32
- JAX passing attack#6/32NYG pass defense#3/32
- JAX run game#11/32NYG run defense#28/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
- Trevor LawrenceQB · 6 games247pass yds/g
- Bhayshul TutenRB · 6 games64.7rush yds/g
- Parker WashingtonWR · 6 games69.3rec yds/g
- Jakobi MeyersWR · 6 games47.5rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- J.J. McCarthyQB · 3 games165pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 6 games69.7rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 7 games86.4rec yds/g
- Isaiah LikelyTE · 7 games56.4rec yds/g