AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · 4:25 PM ET

Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos

LVLVLas Vegas RaidersDENDENDenver Broncos

Matchup first read

DEN run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #32/32 · DEN run defense #11/32 · 106 offense / 140 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -1
Model total
44.5
80% range (DEN margin)
-14.2 to +19.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#21/32LV pass defense#28/32
  • DEN run game#14/32LV run defense#31/32
  • LV passing attack#12/32DEN pass defense#5/32
  • LV run game#32/32DEN run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

DENDenver Broncos