2026 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · 4:05 PM ET
New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers
Matchup first read
LAC run defense has the stronger league profile.
NYJ run game #18/32 · LAC run defense #4/32 · 109 offense / 143 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NYJ -3
- Model total
- 38.5
- 80% range (LAC margin)
- -18.1 to +15.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LAC passing attack#32/32NYJ pass defense#24/32
- LAC run game#28/32NYJ run defense#14/32
- NYJ passing attack#16/32LAC pass defense#10/32
- NYJ run game#18/32LAC run defense#4/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
NYJNew York Jets
- Geno SmithQB · 7 games232pass yds/g
- Braelon AllenRB · 7 games59.7rush yds/g
- Omar Cooper Jr.WR · 3 games82.7rec yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 7 games63.4rec yds/g
LACLos Angeles Chargers
- Justin HerbertQB · 6 games190pass yds/g
- Omarion HamptonRB · 6 games48.2rush yds/g
- Tre HarrisWR · 5 games45rec yds/g
- Ladd McConkeyWR · 5 games40rec yds/g