AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · 4:25 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles

PITPITPittsburgh SteelersPHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles

Matchup first read

PIT run game has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #2/32 · PHI run defense #30/32 · 110 offense / 154 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -2.5
Model total
42
80% range (PHI margin)
-17.6 to +16.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#31/32PIT pass defense#17/32
  • PHI run game#26/32PIT run defense#7/32
  • PIT passing attack#19/32PHI pass defense#25/32
  • PIT run game#2/32PHI run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles