AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys

TENTENTennessee TitansDALDALDallas Cowboys

Matchup first read

DAL run game has the stronger league profile.

DAL run game #5/32 · TEN run defense #23/32 · 122 offense / 144 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DAL -4.5
Model total
46
80% range (DAL margin)
-10.3 to +23.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#14/32TEN pass defense#21/32
  • DAL run game#5/32TEN run defense#23/32
  • TEN passing attack#30/32DAL pass defense#27/32
  • TEN run game#30/32DAL run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

DALDallas Cowboys