AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans

BALBALBaltimore RavensHOUHOUHouston Texans

Matchup first read

HOU passing attack has the stronger league profile.

HOU passing attack #4/32 · BAL pass defense #23/32 · 161 offense / 175 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -1
Model total
48
80% range (HOU margin)
-16.0 to +18.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • HOU passing attack#4/32BAL pass defense#23/32
  • HOU run game#22/32BAL run defense#3/32
  • BAL passing attack#8/32HOU pass defense#14/32
  • BAL run game#24/32HOU run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

HOUHouston Texans