AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 12 · Fri, Nov 27 · 3:00 PM ET

Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers

DENDENDenver BroncosPITPITPittsburgh Steelers

Matchup first read

DEN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT passing attack #19/32 · DEN pass defense #5/32 · 198 offense / 220 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -0.5
Model total
39.5
80% range (PIT margin)
-15.5 to +18.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#19/32DEN pass defense#5/32
  • PIT run game#2/32DEN run defense#11/32
  • DEN passing attack#21/32PIT pass defense#17/32
  • DEN run game#14/32PIT run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

PITPittsburgh Steelers