2026 Week 12 · Wed, Nov 25 · 8:00 PM ET
Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams
Matchup first read
LA run defense has the stronger league profile.
GB run game #31/32 · LA run defense #9/32 · 98 offense / 141 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LA -1
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -14.2 to +19.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#15/32GB pass defense#6/32
- LA run game#4/32GB run defense#24/32
- GB passing attack#7/32LA pass defense#12/32
- GB run game#31/32LA run defense#9/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 7 games280pass yds/g
- Kaleb JohnsonRB · 5 games20.8rush yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 7 games85rec yds/g
- Matthew GoldenWR · 7 games77.1rec yds/g
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 7 games284pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 7 games70.3rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 5 games97rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 6 games80rec yds/g