AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET

Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns

LVLVLas Vegas RaidersCLECLECleveland Browns

Matchup first read

CLE run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #32/32 · CLE run defense #5/32 · 106 offense / 127 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
45
80% range (CLE margin)
-14.9 to +19.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#22/32LV pass defense#28/32
  • CLE run game#17/32LV run defense#31/32
  • LV passing attack#12/32CLE pass defense#9/32
  • LV run game#32/32CLE run defense#5/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

CLECleveland Browns