AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET

New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts

NYGNYGNew York GiantsINDINDIndianapolis Colts

Matchup first read

NYG pass defense has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #28/32 · NYG pass defense #3/32 · 194 offense / 164 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYG -3.5
Model total
48.5
80% range (IND margin)
-18.3 to +15.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#28/32NYG pass defense#3/32
  • IND run game#10/32NYG run defense#28/32
  • NYG passing attack#18/32IND pass defense#7/32
  • NYG run game#13/32IND run defense#12/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

INDIndianapolis Colts