2026 Week 12 · Thu, Nov 26 · 4:30 PM ET
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
Matchup first read
DAL run game has the stronger league profile.
DAL run game #5/32 · PHI run defense #30/32 · 122 offense / 154 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DAL -3
- Model total
- 48
- 80% range (DAL margin)
- -12.2 to +21.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- DAL passing attack#14/32PHI pass defense#25/32
- DAL run game#5/32PHI run defense#30/32
- PHI passing attack#31/32DAL pass defense#27/32
- PHI run game#26/32DAL run defense#21/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
- Tanner McKeeQB · 2 games213pass yds/g
- Saquon BarkleyRB · 5 games48.8rush yds/g
- DeVonta SmithWR · 4 games77.5rec yds/g
- Dontayvion WicksWR · 6 games47.3rec yds/g
DALDallas Cowboys
- Dak PrescottQB · 7 games264pass yds/g
- Javonte WilliamsRB · 7 games67.4rush yds/g
- CeeDee LambWR · 7 games93rec yds/g
- George PickensWR · 7 games69.3rec yds/g