AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 12 · Thu, Nov 26 · 4:30 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

Matchup first read

DAL run game has the stronger league profile.

DAL run game #5/32 · PHI run defense #30/32 · 122 offense / 154 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DAL -3
Model total
48
80% range (DAL margin)
-12.2 to +21.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#14/32PHI pass defense#25/32
  • DAL run game#5/32PHI run defense#30/32
  • PHI passing attack#31/32DAL pass defense#27/32
  • PHI run game#26/32DAL run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

DALDallas Cowboys