AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 29 · 4:25 PM ET

Washington Commanders at Arizona Cardinals

WASWASWashington CommandersARIARIArizona Cardinals

Matchup first read

ARI run game has the stronger league profile.

ARI run game #15/32 · WAS run defense #29/32 · 130 offense / 123 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -2.5
Model total
50.5
80% range (ARI margin)
-17.6 to +16.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#23/32WAS pass defense#19/32
  • ARI run game#15/32WAS run defense#29/32
  • WAS passing attack#20/32ARI pass defense#30/32
  • WAS run game#16/32ARI run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

ARIArizona Cardinals