AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6 · 4:25 PM ET

Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings

CARCARCarolina PanthersMINMINMinnesota Vikings

Matchup first read

CAR pass defense has the stronger league profile.

MIN passing attack #27/32 · CAR pass defense #8/32 · 154 offense / 181 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -5.5
Model total
42
80% range (MIN margin)
-9.4 to +24.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#27/32CAR pass defense#8/32
  • MIN run game#27/32CAR run defense#20/32
  • CAR passing attack#17/32MIN pass defense#1/32
  • CAR run game#12/32MIN run defense#15/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CARCarolina Panthers

MINMinnesota Vikings