Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints

Matchup first read

GB pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NO passing attack #25/32 · GB pass defense #6/32 · 190 offense / 189 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread

GB -2

Model total

46

80% range (NO margin)

-16.8 to +17.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.