AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6 · 8:20 PM ET

Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers

HOUHOUHouston TexansPITPITPittsburgh Steelers

Matchup first read

PIT run game has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #2/32 · HOU run defense #27/32 · 110 offense / 134 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -0.5
Model total
44
80% range (PIT margin)
-14.4 to +19.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#19/32HOU pass defense#14/32
  • PIT run game#2/32HOU run defense#27/32
  • HOU passing attack#4/32PIT pass defense#17/32
  • HOU run game#22/32PIT run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

HOUHouston Texans

PITPittsburgh Steelers