2026 Week 13 · Thu, Dec 3 · 8:15 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams
Matchup first read
LA run game has the stronger league profile.
LA run game #4/32 · KC run defense #8/32 · 125 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- KC -1.5
- Model total
- 43.5
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -16.4 to +17.6
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#15/32KC pass defense#16/32
- LA run game#4/32KC run defense#8/32
- KC passing attack#11/32LA pass defense#12/32
- KC run game#7/32LA run defense#9/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
KCKansas City Chiefs
- Patrick MahomesQB · 6 games246pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 6 games117rush yds/g
- Rashee RiceWR · 3 games63.3rec yds/g
- Travis KelceTE · 6 games57.2rec yds/g
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 7 games284pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 7 games70.3rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 5 games97rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 6 games80rec yds/g