2026 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET
San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants
Matchup first read
SF run game has the stronger league profile.
SF run game #3/32 · NYG run defense #28/32 · 129 offense / 138 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SF -0.5
- Model total
- 47.5
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -15.2 to +18.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#18/32SF pass defense#20/32
- NYG run game#13/32SF run defense#2/32
- SF passing attack#10/32NYG pass defense#3/32
- SF run game#3/32NYG run defense#28/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SFSan Francisco 49ers
- Brock PurdyQB · 7 games250pass yds/g
- Christian McCaffreyRB · 7 games55.6rush yds/g
- Mike EvansWR · 6 games70rec yds/g
- George KittleTE · 7 games60.7rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- J.J. McCarthyQB · 3 games165pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 6 games69.7rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 7 games86.4rec yds/g
- Isaiah LikelyTE · 7 games56.4rec yds/g