AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET

Washington Commanders at Tennessee Titans

WASWASWashington CommandersTENTENTennessee Titans

Matchup first read

WAS pass defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN passing attack #30/32 · WAS pass defense #19/32 · 163 offense / 202 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -2.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (TEN margin)
-17.6 to +16.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#30/32WAS pass defense#19/32
  • TEN run game#30/32WAS run defense#29/32
  • WAS passing attack#20/32TEN pass defense#21/32
  • WAS run game#16/32TEN run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

TENTennessee Titans