2026 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET
Denver Broncos at New York Jets
Matchup first read
DEN pass defense has the stronger league profile.
NYJ passing attack #16/32 · DEN pass defense #5/32 · 162 offense / 220 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DEN -2.5
- Model total
- 39.5
- 80% range (NYJ margin)
- -17.4 to +16.6
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYJ passing attack#16/32DEN pass defense#5/32
- NYJ run game#18/32DEN run defense#11/32
- DEN passing attack#21/32NYJ pass defense#24/32
- DEN run game#14/32NYJ run defense#14/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DENDenver Broncos
- Bo NixQB · 7 games182pass yds/g
- Jonah ColemanRB · 2 games46.5rush yds/g
- Jaylen WaddleWR · 7 games39.4rec yds/g
- Pat BryantWR · 4 games33.3rec yds/g
NYJNew York Jets
- Geno SmithQB · 7 games232pass yds/g
- Braelon AllenRB · 7 games59.7rush yds/g
- Omar Cooper Jr.WR · 3 games82.7rec yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 7 games63.4rec yds/g