AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Houston Texans at Washington Commanders

HOUHOUHouston TexansWASWASWashington Commanders

Matchup first read

HOU passing attack has the stronger league profile.

HOU passing attack #4/32 · WAS pass defense #19/32 · 161 offense / 202 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
HOU -1.5
Model total
48.5
80% range (WAS margin)
-16.4 to +17.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#20/32HOU pass defense#14/32
  • WAS run game#16/32HOU run defense#27/32
  • HOU passing attack#4/32WAS pass defense#19/32
  • HOU run game#22/32WAS run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

HOUHouston Texans

WASWashington Commanders