AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles

INDINDIndianapolis ColtsPHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles

Matchup first read

IND pass defense has the stronger league profile.

PHI passing attack #31/32 · IND pass defense #7/32 · 185 offense / 150 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -1
Model total
46.5
80% range (PHI margin)
-16.1 to +17.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#31/32IND pass defense#7/32
  • PHI run game#26/32IND run defense#12/32
  • IND passing attack#28/32PHI pass defense#25/32
  • IND run game#10/32PHI run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

INDIndianapolis Colts

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles