AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13 · 4:25 PM ET

Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals

KCKCKansas City ChiefsCINCINCincinnati Bengals

Matchup first read

CIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

CIN passing attack #3/32 · KC pass defense #16/32 · 193 offense / 186 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -2
Model total
42.5
80% range (CIN margin)
-13.0 to +21.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#3/32KC pass defense#16/32
  • CIN run game#21/32KC run defense#8/32
  • KC passing attack#11/32CIN pass defense#13/32
  • KC run game#7/32CIN run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

KCKansas City Chiefs

CINCincinnati Bengals