AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13 · 4:05 PM ET

Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders

Matchup first read

LAC run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #32/32 · LAC run defense #4/32 · 106 offense / 143 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LV -5
Model total
43
80% range (LV margin)
-10.1 to +23.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LV passing attack#12/32LAC pass defense#10/32
  • LV run game#32/32LAC run defense#4/32
  • LAC passing attack#32/32LV pass defense#28/32
  • LAC run game#28/32LV run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

LVLas Vegas Raiders