AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 14 · Mon, Dec 14 · 8:15 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars

PITPITPittsburgh SteelersJAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars

Matchup first read

JAX passing attack has the stronger league profile.

JAX passing attack #6/32 · PIT pass defense #17/32 · 170 offense / 206 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
JAX -5.5
Model total
43
80% range (JAX margin)
-9.3 to +24.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • JAX passing attack#6/32PIT pass defense#17/32
  • JAX run game#11/32PIT run defense#7/32
  • PIT passing attack#19/32JAX pass defense#18/32
  • PIT run game#2/32JAX run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

JAXJacksonville Jaguars