AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions

Matchup first read

DET passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DET passing attack #1/32 · TEN pass defense #21/32 · 195 offense / 176 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -5.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (DET margin)
-9.3 to +24.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#1/32TEN pass defense#21/32
  • DET run game#23/32TEN run defense#23/32
  • TEN passing attack#30/32DET pass defense#31/32
  • TEN run game#30/32DET run defense#25/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

DETDetroit Lions