2026 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET
Cleveland Browns at New York Giants
Matchup first read
NYG pass defense has the stronger league profile.
CLE passing attack #22/32 · NYG pass defense #3/32 · 178 offense / 164 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NYG -2
- Model total
- 43.5
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -13.1 to +20.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#18/32CLE pass defense#9/32
- NYG run game#13/32CLE run defense#5/32
- CLE passing attack#22/32NYG pass defense#3/32
- CLE run game#17/32NYG run defense#28/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CLECleveland Browns
- Deshaun WatsonQB · 7 games212pass yds/g
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · 6 games52.8rush yds/g
- Denzel BostonWR · 7 games53.1rec yds/g
- KC ConcepcionWR · 7 games45rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- J.J. McCarthyQB · 3 games165pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 6 games69.7rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 7 games86.4rec yds/g
- Isaiah LikelyTE · 7 games56.4rec yds/g