2026 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20 · 4:25 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams
Matchup first read
LA run game has the stronger league profile.
LA run game #4/32 · DAL run defense #21/32 · 125 offense / 143 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LA -1
- Model total
- 50.5
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -14.0 to +20.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#15/32DAL pass defense#27/32
- LA run game#4/32DAL run defense#21/32
- DAL passing attack#14/32LA pass defense#12/32
- DAL run game#5/32LA run defense#9/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DALDallas Cowboys
- Dak PrescottQB · 7 games264pass yds/g
- Javonte WilliamsRB · 7 games67.4rush yds/g
- CeeDee LambWR · 7 games93rec yds/g
- George PickensWR · 7 games69.3rec yds/g
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 7 games284pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 7 games70.3rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 5 games97rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 6 games80rec yds/g