2026 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20 · 4:25 PM ET
Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders
Matchup first read
DEN run defense has the stronger league profile.
LV run game #32/32 · DEN run defense #11/32 · 106 offense / 140 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DEN -1
- Model total
- 44.5
- 80% range (LV margin)
- -15.7 to +18.3
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LV passing attack#12/32DEN pass defense#5/32
- LV run game#32/32DEN run defense#11/32
- DEN passing attack#21/32LV pass defense#28/32
- DEN run game#14/32LV run defense#31/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DENDenver Broncos
- Bo NixQB · 7 games182pass yds/g
- Jonah ColemanRB · 2 games46.5rush yds/g
- Jaylen WaddleWR · 7 games39.4rec yds/g
- Pat BryantWR · 4 games33.3rec yds/g
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Kirk CousinsQB · 7 games268pass yds/g
- Ashton JeantyRB · 7 games46.9rush yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 5 games91rec yds/g
- Tre TuckerWR · 7 games67.7rec yds/g