AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

INDINDIndianapolis ColtsTENTENTennessee Titans

Matchup first read

IND pass defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN passing attack #30/32 · IND pass defense #7/32 · 163 offense / 150 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -3
Model total
44.5
80% range (TEN margin)
-17.9 to +16.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#30/32IND pass defense#7/32
  • TEN run game#30/32IND run defense#12/32
  • IND passing attack#28/32TEN pass defense#21/32
  • IND run game#10/32TEN run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

INDIndianapolis Colts

TENTennessee Titans