2026 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET
Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers
Matchup first read
GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.
GB passing attack #7/32 · MIA pass defense #32/32 · 208 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- GB -5
- Model total
- 43
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -10.0 to +24.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#7/32MIA pass defense#32/32
- GB run game#31/32MIA run defense#10/32
- MIA passing attack#26/32GB pass defense#6/32
- MIA run game#6/32GB run defense#24/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
MIAMiami Dolphins
- Malik WillisQB · 6 games176pass yds/g
- Ollie Gordon IIRB · 5 games67.8rush yds/g
- Caleb DouglasWR · 3 games61rec yds/g
- Malik WashingtonWR · 6 games48.2rec yds/g
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 7 games280pass yds/g
- Kaleb JohnsonRB · 5 games20.8rush yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 7 games85rec yds/g
- Matthew GoldenWR · 7 games77.1rec yds/g