AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20 · 4:05 PM ET

New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals

NYJNYJNew York JetsARIARIArizona Cardinals

Matchup first read

NYJ passing attack has the stronger league profile.

NYJ passing attack #16/32 · ARI pass defense #30/32 · 162 offense / 161 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYJ -2.5
Model total
46
80% range (ARI margin)
-17.6 to +16.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#23/32NYJ pass defense#24/32
  • ARI run game#15/32NYJ run defense#14/32
  • NYJ passing attack#16/32ARI pass defense#30/32
  • NYJ run game#18/32ARI run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYJNew York Jets

ARIArizona Cardinals