2026 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET
Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints
Matchup first read
ARI run game has the stronger league profile.
ARI run game #15/32 · NO run defense #32/32 · 130 offense / 138 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NO -3
- Model total
- 50
- 80% range (NO margin)
- -11.9 to +22.1
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NO passing attack#25/32ARI pass defense#30/32
- NO run game#25/32ARI run defense#26/32
- ARI passing attack#23/32NO pass defense#22/32
- ARI run game#15/32NO run defense#32/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
ARIArizona Cardinals
- Jacoby BrissettQB · 7 games229pass yds/g
- Jeremiyah LoveRB · 5 games49rush yds/g
- Trey McBrideTE · 7 games67.4rec yds/g
- Michael WilsonWR · 7 games53.6rec yds/g
NONew Orleans Saints
- Tyler ShoughQB · 7 games246pass yds/g
- Travis EtienneRB · 3 games42.7rush yds/g
- Chris OlaveWR · 7 games90.9rec yds/g
- Devaughn VeleWR · 7 games49.7rec yds/g