AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

CLECLECleveland BrownsBALBALBaltimore Ravens

Matchup first read

CLE run defense has the stronger league profile.

BAL run game #24/32 · CLE run defense #5/32 · 151 offense / 127 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -0.5
Model total
44
80% range (BAL margin)
-14.3 to +19.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#8/32CLE pass defense#9/32
  • BAL run game#24/32CLE run defense#5/32
  • CLE passing attack#22/32BAL pass defense#23/32
  • CLE run game#17/32BAL run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

BALBaltimore Ravens