AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 16 · Fri, Dec 25 · 8:15 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks

LALALos Angeles RamsSEASEASeattle Seahawks

Matchup first read

LA run defense has the stronger league profile.

SEA run game #29/32 · LA run defense #9/32 · 142 offense / 141 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -3.5
Model total
45
80% range (SEA margin)
-11.7 to +22.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#24/32LA pass defense#12/32
  • SEA run game#29/32LA run defense#9/32
  • LA passing attack#15/32SEA pass defense#4/32
  • LA run game#4/32SEA run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LALos Angeles Rams

SEASeattle Seahawks