AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 16 · Mon, Dec 28 · 8:15 PM ET

New York Giants at Detroit Lions

NYGNYGNew York GiantsDETDETDetroit Lions

Matchup first read

NYG passing attack has the stronger league profile.

NYG passing attack #18/32 · DET pass defense #31/32 · 195 offense / 219 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYG -0.5
Model total
49.5
80% range (DET margin)
-15.6 to +18.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#1/32NYG pass defense#3/32
  • DET run game#23/32NYG run defense#28/32
  • NYG passing attack#18/32DET pass defense#31/32
  • NYG run game#13/32DET run defense#25/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

DETDetroit Lions