2026 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27 · 4:05 PM ET
Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders
Matchup first read
LV passing attack has the stronger league profile.
LV passing attack #12/32 · TEN pass defense #21/32 · 217 offense / 176 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LV -4.5
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (LV margin)
- -10.6 to +23.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LV passing attack#12/32TEN pass defense#21/32
- LV run game#32/32TEN run defense#23/32
- TEN passing attack#30/32LV pass defense#28/32
- TEN run game#30/32LV run defense#31/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
TENTennessee Titans
- Cam WardQB · 7 games168pass yds/g
- Tony PollardRB · 7 games68.3rush yds/g
- Carnell TateWR · 7 games59rec yds/g
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · 7 games29.3rec yds/g
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Kirk CousinsQB · 7 games268pass yds/g
- Ashton JeantyRB · 7 games46.9rush yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 5 games91rec yds/g
- Tre TuckerWR · 7 games67.7rec yds/g