2026 Week 17 · Thu, Dec 31 · 8:15 PM ET
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals
Matchup first read
CIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.
CIN passing attack #3/32 · BAL pass defense #23/32 · 193 offense / 175 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- CIN -4
- Model total
- 47.5
- 80% range (CIN margin)
- -11.1 to +22.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- CIN passing attack#3/32BAL pass defense#23/32
- CIN run game#21/32BAL run defense#3/32
- BAL passing attack#8/32CIN pass defense#13/32
- BAL run game#24/32CIN run defense#16/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
BALBaltimore Ravens
- Lamar JacksonQB · 4 games242pass yds/g
- Derrick HenryRB · 7 games82.7rush yds/g
- Zay FlowersWR · 6 games101rec yds/g
- Rashod BatemanWR · 7 games38rec yds/g
CINCincinnati Bengals
- Joe BurrowQB · 6 games276pass yds/g
- Chase BrownRB · 6 games47.5rush yds/g
- Tee HigginsWR · 6 games95.2rec yds/g
- Ja'Marr ChaseWR · 6 games58.5rec yds/g