Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers

Matchup first read

GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #7/32 · HOU pass defense #14/32 · 208 offense / 199 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread

GB -1

Model total

45.5

80% range (GB margin)

-14.2 to +19.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.